Summary
Population forecasts are used to manage threatened and endangered wildlife populations. Natural resource managers use these predictions to anticipate future changes in species abundance, assess extinction risk, and prioritize management interventions. Inaccurate forecasts may lead to erroneous interventions or inefficient uses of limited resources including funding and personnel. Despite the widespread adoption of population forecasts over the last four decades, there have been few efforts to assess the historical performance of these predictions. This project will use the growing number of lo